P/E Ratio

P/E Ratio means Price to Earnings Ratio. It takes the price of a stock then divides it by the Earnings per Share (EPS). The Price to Earnings Ratio is used for valuation. A higher value indicates that the price of the stock may be expensive. A lower value may indicate the price of the stock may be cheap.

During a recession, the Price to Earnings Ratio of many stocks is below 20 or sometimes below 10. It just depends on how bad the recession is. On the other hand, when the economy is good, the Price to Earnings Ratio of many stocks is above 20, sometimes above 40.

As a guide, multiply the Retained Earnings growth rate by 2 to get the maximum Price to Earnings ratio of a stock. Anything above that maximum means the price of the stock is too expensive.

When the P/E Ratios of many stocks reaches above 40 or when it is above the maximum Price to Earnings ratio, consider selling the stocks and buy Treasuries. Wait for the next recession to come. Expensive P/E Ratios of stocks are an indication that there could be a recession waiting around the corner.

 

Equation

 

Check if the price of the stock is too expensive:

Maximum Price to Earnings Ratio

My Financial Analysis of Stocks

  • Accumulating ViacomCBS (VIAC) We believe there is a greater opportunity in ViacomCBS (VIAC). We have been accumulating the stock for the past year. Our analysis is a mere common sense. During the course ...
    Posted Jan 25, 2021, 5:25 PM by Intelligent Investor
  • Sold AXP, BRK.B, JPM, and WFC We sold all of our shares in American Express (AXP), Berkshire Hathaway Class B (BRK.B), J.P. Morgan (JPM), and Wells Fargo (WFC).American Express (AXP) - We just do ...
    Posted Jan 19, 2021, 7:53 PM by Intelligent Investor
  • We Have Bottomed, Next Stop Dow Jones 100,000 The bottom of this recession was on March 23, 2020, when the Dow Jone hit 18,214. This recession was short-lived, it only lasted about 3 months. Our Gross ...
    Posted Jun 8, 2020, 12:32 PM by Intelligent Investor
  • Archive: My Stock Research 2019 View My Analysis: My Stock Research 2019
    Posted May 21, 2020, 9:21 PM by Intelligent Investor
  • Archive: My Stock Holdings 2019 View My Analysis: My Stock Holdings 2019
    Posted May 21, 2020, 9:21 PM by Intelligent Investor
  • Another Dead Cat Bounce, We Haven't Bottomed Yet, Goldman Predicts S&P 2000 The Dow Jones has rallied to 22,327 over the past several days. However, we believe this is another dead cat bounce. We sold all our shares of United Health ...
    Posted Mar 30, 2020, 8:35 PM by Intelligent Investor
  • Coronavirus Is The Black Swan Event That Ended The Bull Market In 2020 A Black Swan Event is an unpredictable event that causes catastrophic damage to an economy. A few days ago, we wrote an article describing the coronavirus as a Black Swan ...
    Posted Mar 18, 2020, 9:21 AM by Intelligent Investor
  • Beyond Meat (BYND) and Dunkin (DNKN), The End Of A Tale Of 2 Speculative Stocks During a recession speculative stocks get pounded down to the ground. Thus, we sold all of our shares of Beyond Meat (BYND) and Dunkin' Donuts (DNKN). Beyond Meat is in ...
    Posted Mar 18, 2020, 9:22 AM by Intelligent Investor
  • The Dow Jones Rallies 1294 Points, Sold More Stocks On This Dead Cat Bounce The Dow Jones jumps 1294 points a few days ago, however, we believe that this rally is a "dead cat bounce". We have to wait for the next quarter's ...
    Posted Mar 16, 2020, 9:56 PM by Intelligent Investor
  • We Panic Sold Today was a really bad day in the market. The Dow Jones opened at negative 1000 points. It seems as if the coronavirus is gaining steam and is about to ...
    Posted Mar 18, 2020, 9:23 AM by Intelligent Investor
Showing posts 1 - 10 of 51. View more »